Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers – Against the Spread Pick
BETTING LINE: Alabama -6 O/U 45.5
Last Game: LSU beat Ole Miss 10-7 and Alabama beat Tennessee 34-20.
ATS PICK: While Alabama has been a less than stellar betting team on the season you have dig deeper in the head to head betting trends for this game. The Tide have covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 road games facing LSU and overall they have won 3 straight against the Tigers. The ESPN pick in this game is the Crimson Tide and they are right. In the Fox Sports Pick for Alabama vs LSU HUGE SEC game the Tide ARE THE pick to win and cover.
Last week I won some nice loot, $200, to be exact playing Oregon and Kansas State to win and cover, which they did. The picks on the site were spot on and each easily covered the spread.
Alabama typically has to deal with big spreads since they are loaded. However, this time around at -6 they are not even giving a TD. CBS Sports Picks has Bama as the team in this one even though LSU is 46-4 in night games this games, this game is at 8 PM, under head coach Les Miles.
LSIU knocked off unbeaten Ole Miss last week, as they rushed for over 250 yards. However, not only does Alabama has the nation’s 2nd ranked run defense, but LSU only gave up 7 points last week and is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
While LSU has the nation’s 4th ranked D they only rank 64th overall in run D and that will hurt them in this game facing a balanced Tide offense.
LSU’s stadium is one of the toughest places to play in college football, but Alabama knows a thing or 2 playing in front of hostile crowds. Also, in the last 20 games between these fierce SEC rivals the Road team is 13-5-1 ATS.
LSU is a legit 7-2 ATS on the season, but they already lost, and obviously did not cover, at home facing #1 Mississippi State.
Alabama has not covered in their last 3 away games playing down to their inferior opponent. However, that will not be case in this game, as they will be more than fired up to play hated rival LSU. Last season the Tide were not a great betting team, but while they were at home facing LSU they won and covered the 14 point spread.
The Under may also be a good pick in this game, as each of these teams ranks in the top 5 in overall defense. On top of that the ESPN Pick points to the Under, as that has been the winning bet in 4 of the last 5 games between these 2 teams.
Betting Records and Betting Trends
ATS – O/U Records:
Alabama: 2-6 ATS / O/U 4-4
LSU: 7-2 ATS / O/U 4-5
0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games
2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall
Over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 road games.
6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games
4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall
1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November
Under is 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Louisiana State.
Alabama is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games at LSU
Road team is 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 meetings.