Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas A&M Aggies – Pick

LINE: Texas A&M -8.5 O/U 70

Arkansas (3-1) vs. No. 6 Texas A&M (4-0)

THE PICK: Have to go with A&M in this one and think the spread should be more. Yeah, the game is being played at a neutral site at Arlington, Texas, but it is still only 25 miles from the Texas A&M campus, so I think it will still be a home game for them with all of their fans there.

ATS – O/U Records:

Arkansas: 3-1 ATS / O/U 4-0
Texas A&M: 3-1 ATS / O/U 2-2

Betting Trends

Arkansas

4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall
0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games
Over is 23-9-1 in their last 33 games overall

Texas A&M

2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
2-10 ATS in their last 12 neutral site games
Over is 7-3 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record

Head-to-Head
Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games

Last Game: Arkansas crushed Northern Illinois 52-14 and Texas A&M also had an easy win beating SMU 58-6.

Analysis:

Will there be any defense played in this game? That is the question, as this SEC match up features 2 of the 3 highest scoring teams in the nation. While the Razorbacks have won 3 straight in blowout fashion they already have 1 conference loss where they lost 45-21 to Auburn in their opener. Texas A&M has 4 blowout wins this season and they already beat top 10 team in South Carolina.

Kenny Hill has put up great numbers for the Aggies so far this season under center and now only that, but he has a deep WR corps. He will have a field day facing an Arkansas pass D that ranks 69th in the nation.

The Aggies can also run the ball, but it will be their run defense that will be more important in this game. Arkansas’ Alex Collins leads the SEC with 490 rushing yards and Jonathan Williams is 4th with 391 rushing yards and averages 8.1 yards per carry. They will get some yards, but not put up HUGE numbers. While Texas A&M is stronger defending the pass than the run they still have the nation’s 8th ranked overall defense.

Arkansas QB Brandon Allen will be counted to make some plays with his arm, but that simply will not happen. Not only do the Aggies have a great pass defense, but they rank 7th in the nation in sacks.

Final Thoughts

Arkansas has lost 13 straight SEC games and after this one t will be 14. It will not be close either, as Texas A&M will win big and easily cover the 8.5-point spread.

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