Only a few more weeks left in the college regular season and there are only 2 games this week between 2 top 25 teams and they are both in the Pac 12. Alabama played their way into the top 4 in the BCS playoff rankings by handing Mississippi State their first loss of the season in their last game. 3 of the top 4 teams in the BCS rankings are home and big favorites.
Boston College vs. #1 Florida State
Betting Odds: Florida State -20
FSU is one of only 2 undefeated teams in the nation and they will be in the BCS playoffs if they win their last 2 games. Boston College is bowl eligible even though they lost their last game and they did beat a top 10 team earlier this season. BC has a solid defense and they rank 12th in the nation in rushing yards per game. They will have to play solid pass D facing a FSU team that ranks 11th in the nation in passing yards per game.
The underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 games between these 2 teams.
Pick Against the Spread: While FSU is undefeated they have not been a good betting team on the season and that will continue, as Boston College will cover the big spread.
USC vs. #11 UCLA
Betting Odds: UCLA -3
USC has won 2 straight and while they are the betting underdog in this game they are 2-1 this season facing ranked teams. UCLA has won 4 straight and this game is HUGE with 4 teams in the Pac 12 South all with 2 losses. The Bruins have a solid and balanced offense, but their defense only ranks 79th in the nation. USC QB Cody Kessler has passed for 771 yards with 9 TD and only 1 INT in his last 2 games.
UCLA is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games facing USC
Pick Against the Spread: Taking USC in this one, as Kessler will have another big game the Trojans will cover the 3-point spread.
#15 Arizona vs. #20 Utah
Betting Odds: Utah -3.5
Arizona is still in the hunt for the Pac 12 South Division title, but they need help, as they lost to both USC and UCLA, who also have 2 conference losses. They have won 2 straight and freshman QB Anu Solomon leads the nation’s 14th ranked passing offense. Utah got over their 2-game losing streak with a HUGE win over Stanford in 2OT in their last game. The Utes need to play good defense to win, as they do not have a dynamic offense ranking 100th in passing yards per game and 54th in rushing yards per game.
Arizona is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games facing Utah
Pick Against the Spread: Arizona will cover in this game and keep their hopes alive for the division crown.
Minnesota vs. #19 Nebraska
Betting Odds: Nebraska -11
Minnesota has lost 2 of their last 3 games, but they have a solid defense and almost upset Ohio State in their last game. Nebraska is coming off a blowout loss, which likely took them out of the running for the Big 10 West title. Huskers RB Ameer Abdullah is the main weapon and has rushed for 1,319 yards with 17 TD this season, but he struggled in the Wisconsin game. The Minnesota run defense ranks 53rd in the nation and they will have to defend the run well to pull off the upset this Saturday.
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games and Nebraska is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games.
Pick Against the Spread: Nebraska will bounce back in this game behind a strong performance from Abdullah and they will win and cover.
#14 Wisconsin vs. Iowa
Betting Odds: Wisconsin -9.5
Wisconsin is coming off a big win over Nebraska whey scored 59 points where RB Melvin Gordon broke a FBS record with 408 rushing yards. The Badgers control their own destiny, as if they win out they will win the Big 10 West Division. While Iowa has not faced a ranked team this season they can win the West Division if they win out. Iowa has the nation’s 46th ranked run defense, which will be key facing a Wisconsin team that ranks 3rd in the nation in rushing yards per game.
The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 games between these 2 teams.
Pick Against the Spread: Wisconsin will have another big game on the ground and even on the road they will win and cover the 9.5-point spread.
#8 Ole Miss vs. Arkansas
Betting Odds: Ole Miss -3
Ole Miss snapped their 2-game losing streak with an easy win in their last game and they still have a chance to make the BCS playoff picture. However, they need to win out, beating Mississippi State in their season finale, and they may need Alabama to lose. Ole Miss has the nation’s top-ranked defense and face an Arkansas squad that is coming off a big upset shutting out LSU.
Arkansas is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against Ole Miss and is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games facing a team with a winning record.
Pick Against the Spread: Bucking the betting trends in this one, as Ole Miss will win and cover.
Oklahoma State vs. #6 Baylor
Betting Odds: Baylor -26
Baylor is on the outside looking in, as the 7th ranked team in the BCS playoff rankings and even if they win out they may need some help to get in the top 4. OSU has had a season to forget at 5-5 and they not only have lost 4 straight but also lost badly. They will be facing a Baylor offense that is the highest scoring one in the nation.
The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games between these 2 teams.
Pick Against the Spread: Even giving 26 points Baylor will win and cover at home.