College Football Picks Week 15 Against The Spread

It is championship week with many teams hoping to get into the top 4 of the BCS playoff picture. Oregon, Alabama, and Florida State can do just that in their respective title games, but if any of these top 3 teams falter they may be on the outside looking in. Several, teams hope that is the case, as the likes of Ohio State and Baylor need help to make the top 4.

Pac 12 Championship Game

#3 Oregon vs. #8 Arizona

Betting Odds: Oregon -13.5

Oregon will get a spot in the BCS playoffs if they can beat Arizona, which was their only loss of the season. Since that loss the Ducks have not really been tested and their offense, which ranks 4th in the nation in points per game, has been on fire. Arizona has won 4 straight including beating ranked teams in their last 2 and Anu Solomon was injured at the end of the season, but he will go in this game and must play well.

Arizona is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games facing Oregon.

Pick Against the Spread: I think Arizona will give Oregon a good game and while they may not win they will cover the big spread.

SEC Championship Game

#1 Alabama vs. #14 Missouri

Betting Odds: Alabama -14

Bama is the top-ranked team in the nation and they are a lock to be in the BCS playoff race, but if they slip up facing Missouri they will likely be on the outside looking in. Mizzou has won 6 straight and they are 2-1 facing ranked teams this season. The Tigers win with defense, as they do not have a dynamic offense and they face a Bama team that ranks in the top 40 in both passing and rushing yards per game. On top of that they have the nation’s 6th ranked defense.

Alabama is 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall and Mizzou is 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Pick Against the Spread: Have to go with Alabama in this one, as they are just a much team on both sides of the ball.

ACC Championship Game

#2 Florida State vs. #12 Georgia Tech

Betting Odds: Florida State -3.5

FSU is the last undefeated team in the nation, but they have played 3 straight very close games against unranked teams. Reigning Heisman winner Jameis Winston leads a Seminoles’ passing offense that ranks 13th in the nation. Tech has won 5 straight games and their last 2 games were against ranked teams. The big match up in this game may be Tech and their 4th ranked rushing offense facing FSU and their 42nd ranked run defense.
Pick Against the Spread: FSU has not been a great betting team as of late, but only giving 3.5 points they are THE pick in this game.

The underdog is 3-0-2 in the last 5 games between these 2 teams.

Big 10 Championship Game

#11 Wisconsin vs. #6 Ohio State

Betting Odds: Wisconsin -4

OSU still has an outside shot to get in the BCS playoffs, but they not only have to win this game, but also have a couple of other teams lose. They are the underdog in this game and with good reason since Wisconsin has won 7 straight and has the nation’s 4th ranked defense. That defense will be tested by a Buckeyes’ offense that is the 5th highest scoring one in the nation. However, with the loss of starting QB J.T. Barrett  OSU may lose some steam on offense.

Ohio State is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games facing Wisconsin.

Pick Against the Spread: Without Barrett Wisconsin will win and cover.

#9 Kansas State vs. #5 Baylor

Betting Odds: OFF as of Monday

Baylor has an outside shot to get in the BCS playoffs, but they need a few teams to lose. They have the nation’s highest scoring team and one of the reasons the betting lines are off, as of Monday, is that star QB Bryce Petty suffered a concussion in the last game and is questionable for this one. KSU has a solid passing offense, but their 17th ranked defense may be the key to them winning.

The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games between these 2 teams.

Pick Against the Spread: Baylor’s offense will be too much for KSU to handle and they will win and cover.

MWC Championship Game

Fresno State vs. #22 Boise State

Betting Odds: Boise State -19.5

Fresno State started the season 0-3 facing 3 teams that would be in the top 25 this season, but they won their last 3 games to become bowl eligible. However, they are big betting underdogs facing a Boise State team that has a balanced offense, ranks 9th in the nation in points per game, and won their last 7 games of the season. Earlier this season at home Boise State beat Fresno State 37-27.

Boise State is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games facing Fresno State.

Pick Against the Spread: BSU only beat FSU by 10 points at home in the regular season and in the conference title game the Bulldogs will cover the big spread.