Ole Miss Rebels vs. LSU Tigers – Against the Spread Pick
BETTING LINE: Ole Miss -3.5 O/U 43.5
Last Game: LSU won their 2nd straight game with a 41-3 thrashing if Kentucky and Ole Miss stayed unbeaten with an easy 34-3 win over Tennessee.
ATS PICK: In an interesting betting trend Ole Miss is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games against LSU. This is the first time in the last 15 games between these SEC rivals that Ole Miss is the betting favorite. LSU is not as dominant it has been in recent seasons and the Rebels have one of THE best defenses in the nation. That is why Ole Miss will win and cover against LSU.
Ole Miss has the nation’s 6th ranked defense and they are also tied for the nation’s lead in interceptions. They have covered the spread in 9 of their last 13 games on the road and this season they have already taken down a top 25 team on the road beating Texas A&M.
Both teams are coming off blowout wins and Ole Miss is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after winning by 20 points their previous game while LSU is only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after winning by 20 or more points.
LSU is led by their rushing offense with the RB duo of Leonard Fournette (544 yards 7 TD) and Kenny Hilliard (353 yards 6 TD). The Tigers had a big game on the ground in their win over Kentucky in their last game, but in their last 7 games after rushing for over 200 yards they have only covered the spread 5 times.
Ole Miss QB Bo Wallace has had a great season and he has played great in the 3 big games for the Rebels. Last season he passed for nearly 350 yards, as the Rebels upset the Tigers, who were the 6th ranked team in the nation at the time.
One misleading betting trend in this match up is that the underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 games between the 2 teams. LSU is the underdog in this game while in the last 15 Ole Miss has been the underdog, but has still covered the spread in 10 of their last 13 games against LSU overall.
Betting Records and Betting Trends
ATS – O/U Records:
Ole Miss: 6-0-1 ATS / O/U 1-6
LSU: 6-2 ATS / O/U 4-4
21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall
9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games
3-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
Under is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall
5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games
5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a S.U. win
2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game
Under is 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Ole Miss is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games at LSU
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 games
Ole Miss is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games
Underdog is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games
Road team is 14-3 ATS in their last games